Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.198988 0.220774 0.243194 0.267939 0.294430 0.321891 0.352454
2024-12-22 0.168953 0.198613 0.230349 0.266660 0.306884 0.349909 0.399240
2024-12-29 0.150962 0.186404 0.225582 0.271742 0.324280 0.381864 0.449393
2025-01-05 0.134210 0.173478 0.218204 0.272306 0.335366 0.405949 0.490317
2025-01-12 0.120191 0.162181 0.211353 0.272272 0.344797 0.427481 0.527955
2025-01-19 0.107583 0.151327 0.203929 0.270572 0.351473 0.445256 0.560908
2025-01-26 0.098812 0.144375 0.200492 0.273016 0.362567 0.467881 0.599393
2025-02-02 0.093368 0.141119 0.201186 0.280164 0.379117 0.496910 0.645559
2025-02-09 0.085838 0.134495 0.197077 0.280845 0.387376 0.515760 0.679491
2025-02-16 0.081233 0.131399 0.197192 0.286624 0.401814 0.542081 0.722554
2025-02-23 0.077610 0.129341 0.198424 0.293665 0.417758 0.570285 0.768083
2025-03-02 0.070720 0.122175 0.192388 0.290810 0.420779 0.582258 0.793563
2025-03-09 0.065622 0.117377 0.189474 0.292135 0.429408 0.601664 0.828944
2025-03-16 0.060096 0.111538 0.184772 0.290760 0.434308 0.616266 0.858357
2025-03-23 0.057165 0.109408 0.185123 0.296156 0.448096 0.642247 0.902271
2025-03-30 0.053060 0.105143 0.182155 0.296752 0.455348 0.659787 0.935550
2025-04-06 0.049124 0.100849 0.178889 0.296713 0.461596 0.675961 0.967121
2025-04-13 0.045052 0.096014 0.174547 0.294904 0.465253 0.688649 0.994201
2025-04-20 0.042414 0.093381 0.173359 0.297502 0.474892 0.709210 1.031560
2025-04-27 0.041163 0.093033 0.175617 0.305100 0.491509 0.739132 1.081319
2025-05-04 0.038414 0.089848 0.173293 0.305824 0.498445 0.756149 1.114286
2025-05-11 0.037045 0.089034 0.174637 0.311964 0.513027 0.783500 1.161010
2025-05-18 0.036038 0.088807 0.176875 0.319443 0.529559 0.813596 1.211566